Wikipedia talk:Sockpuppet investigations/Molobo/Archive

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Broken promise

It was promised that the "secret evidence" will be made pubic before the case is closed, so that the defender would get a chance to comment on it. This has not happened. :( --Piotr Konieczny aka Prokonsul Piotrus| talk 07:46, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]

AdjustShift specifically promised this to me, too. I relied on the promise and delayed raising detailed objections until the evidence would be posted. Unfortunately, this never happened. ΔιγουρενΕμπρος! 08:53, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
The last version they came up with is that the secret evidences "were not used to a great extent in this decision". What the hell does that mean i don't know. Loosmark (talk) 08:57, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
Considering the change of outcome from "unlikely" to "possible" by Avraham -- semantically equivalent, but one hints against, the other towards foul play --, I have a nagging suspicion that he was significantly influenced by seeing the secret evidence. No offence to his person, but human judgment is pretty funky, especially in absence of clarity. ΔιγουρενΕμπρος! 09:25, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
I agree. Basicaly the only excuse for not publishing the secret evidence would have been that the secret evidence was ruled as useless for the case and dismissed. That was not the case and, to whatever degree, the secret evidence did affect the final decision therefore it needs to be published as it was promised. Loosmark (talk) 10:11, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
Avraham made the decision based on the information posted on the SPI page, and his CU result. Please read his explanations here, here, and here. Please read Avraham's response to Radeksz below:
Radek, I was the CU who upgraded the finding to possible, and that was before I looked at the editing history, as I was asked to come on board later. If you would like to say you don't trust me; fine. However, what I said still holds. I was asked to look at the evidence; I did so and reported on the technical findings. Afterwards, I was asked to look at the behavioral evidence as well, specifically the fact that the editing patterns did not make sense in light of the checkuser evidence if these were actually two people, but if they were the same person, then it did make a whole lot of sense. While I forwarded AS's evidence to the functionaries list, it was not a factor in my decision. The evidence presented by Sciurinæ and nixeagle was sufficient, in my opinion. ~Avraham[28]
The secret evidences were not a factor in Avraham's decision; the evidence presented by Sciurinæ and nixeagle was sufficient. I didn't close the case; Avraham did. If you guys have any questions, please ask Avraham. Sciurinæ collected those evidences. I promised Sciurinæ that I will not publish his evidences on-wiki without his permission. If you guys want to see the secret evidences, please contact Sciurinæ. I can't post Sciurinæ's evidences without his permission. AdjustShift (talk) 12:51, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]

(edit conflict)A few comments:

  1. The stylistic evidence provided by AdjustShift was sufficient, but not necessary to reach the conclusion I did.
  2. My switching to possible occurred before I considered AS's evidence (I do not recall if I actually had possession of it at the time; I can check timestamps on the edits and my e-mails if you are truly interested) and for the reasons I listes (the differences in type between the IPs used). Checkuser is not magic pixie dust, as we all know, and it takes a certain amount of interpretation.
  3. I will never claim infallibility, and will always admit I can be wrong. I'm also human (at least last I checked). I did not hide how I made the decision, and while AS's evidence would be enough in and of itself, I came to the decision primarily based on the chronological editing pattern, checkuser evidence, and Scurinae's evidence, which is what I said.

If you believe an error was made, by all means, bring it up to ArbCom and have them check my work; I'm pretty confident thatmy analysis is sound, but am more than happy to be corrected if wrong. -- Avi (talk) 12:58, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]

Avraham did his best for the case. This was my first major SP case. I've dealt with simpler SP cases before. Avraham is a trusted member of our community, and he did his job well. AdjustShift (talk) 13:33, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]

I have 3 questions: 1) Why did Sciurinæ pass the evidence to AdjustShift of all people? I read on his page that AdjustShift joined wikipedia on August 2008 and he was elected admin in mid April 2009. So basicaly we have a total rookie admin handling evidence for a case that according to Avraham's words is "very complicated". 2) AdjustShift are you from Germany? 3) Why does Sciurinæ get the right to decide which evidence should be published and which shouldn't? Loosmark (talk) 13:40, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]

Let me answer them. 1) Sciurinæ said that he would pass the evidence to a neutral admin. I was looking at WP:SPI; I had no idea about Molobo before this case, so I asked Sciurinæ to pass the evidence to me. The final verdict was passed by Avraham, an experience admin. I believe I handled the case appropriately. 2) I've said this several times: I don't judge people on the basis of where they come from; I judge people on the basis of individual merit and behavior. In this particular case, a Polish editor used a sockpuppet inappropriately. If a German were to use sockpuppets inappropriately, I'll block him. We have certain social rules; nobody can break them. It is not relevant whether I’m from Germany, France, Togo, Japan, China, or whatever. 3) Sciurinæ collected the evidences; he has a right to decide which evidence should be published and which shouldn't. AdjustShift (talk) 14:12, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
ok AdjustShift, thanks for answering me politely. I do not agree with you on 2) given the somewhat problematic history that Molobo and some German editors had I believe that it would be, how shall we put it, lets say unlucky that a German admin would be involved in this case (same as for example if Brasil and Italy would play the final of the football world cup the referee wouldn't be from either of those countries), but that's only my personal opinion. I also do not agree with 3) once the evidence was used in the case it should be made public regardless of what Sciurinæ thinks. Loosmark (talk) 14:33, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
@Loosmark 1) "Why did Sciurinæ pass the evidence to AdjustShift of all people?" I have no idea, but why shouldn't he? "AdjustShift joined wikipedia on August 2008 and he was elected admin in mid April 2009." An admin is an admin. There is no unwritten (let alone written) rule that you need to be an admin for so and so long a time to handle things. 2) "AdjustShift are you from Germany?" Why do you think he is? Because he hasn't taken Molobo's side? One might as well ask you if you are from Poland because you are taking his side. Regardless, the case wasn't even closed by AdjustShift, but by Avi, so it's of no relevance one way or the other. "Why does Sciurinæ get the right to decide which evidence should be published and which shouldn't?" Just like everyone else, Sciurinæ has the right to send things to anyone asking them not to publish it without his consent. Apart from that, as Avi has pointed out, the block wasn't based on the secret evidence, but on the circumstancial evidence resulting from, #1 similarities of style (public), #2 the chronological editing patterns posted publicly (public), #3 CheckUser results (public). Together, these elements result in a clear enough picture. As I understand this, the only reason why a small part of edit-based evidence is not made public is to facilitate the identification of future socks. This is a legitimate concern. There's no point in blocking anyone for sockpuppetry and at the same time handing them detailed instructions on how to avoid getting caught again, is there? --Thorsten1 (talk) 14:26, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
@Thorsten1 One might as well ask you if you are from Poland because you are. The difference is that I wasn't involved in any way on the case. Apart from that, as Avi has pointed out, the block wasn't based on the secret evidence... here's no point in blocking anyone for sockpuppetry and at the same time handing them detailed instructions on how to avoid getting caught again, is there? Interesting logic we have there: "the secret evidence wasn't used to for the block but we can't publish it because then the next we won't be able to block him." Excuse the stupid question but if the secret evidence wasn't relevant this time, why would it be the next time? Loosmark (talk) 14:47, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
"The difference is that I wasn't involved in any way on the case." But you are now. Also, Wikipedia is neither a courtroom nor a soccer match, as you imply above. And AdjustShift didn't make any decision anyway. So it's all irrelevant. "Excuse the stupid question" Of course, I do, no problem. "but if the secret evidence wasn't relevant this time, why would it be the next time?" Quite simply, it's not being considered relevant this time so that it may be considered relevant should there be a next time. What's so difficult about that? Quite apart from that, before you demand the publication of additional evidence, you would have to explain why the public evidence is not sufficient. --Thorsten1 (talk) 15:02, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
Quite simply, it's not being considered relevant this time so that it may be considered relevant should there be a next time. What's so difficult about that? Only that nobody said it clearly that the evidence wasn't used this time. In fact the opposite appears to be true. Quite apart from that, before you demand the publication of additional evidence, you would have to explain why the public evidence is not sufficient. I'm not demanding the publication of additional evidence but rather of evidence which was already used and it was promised to us it will be published before the end of the case. What's so difficult about that? Loosmark (talk) 15:22, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
"Only that nobody said it clearly that the evidence wasn't used this time. [...] I'm not demanding the publication of additional evidence but rather of evidence which was already used". What are you actually talking about? Which of Avi's following statements do you not understand?
  • "The information posted on the SPI page in and of itself and an analysis of Molobo and Gwinndeith's editing patterns combined with the checkuser information that they were in the same time zone, and much closer than that, was sufficient to make it clear that there was extremely sound evidence of sockpuppetry." [29]
  • "While I forwarded AS's evidence to the functionaries list, it was not a factor in my decision. The evidence presented by Sciurinæ and nixeagle was sufficient" [30]
  • "my decision was based on the public information of Sciurinæ and the pretty d@mning editing patterns in light of the checkuser evidence." [31]
In the face of this, what is your justification for saying that "In fact the opposite appears to be true"? Clearly, Molobo was identified on the basis of public evidence. If you can plausibly demonstrate that this evidence was insufficient, you can do so any time (although this is not the right place for it), but there's no point complaining about anyone breaking any "promises". --Thorsten1 (talk) 15:54, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
Clearly, Molobo was identified on the basis of public evidence. If you can plausibly demonstrate that this evidence was insufficient, you can do so any time (although this is not the right place for it), but there's no point complaining about anyone breaking any "promises". Obviously the point is that the secret evidence could have negatively effected the judging process. Which part of that you don't understand? there's no point complaining about anyone breaking any "promises". So basicaly anybody can just promise something during a process not to raise too many objections and then simply not keep his promise? I find that unpleasant to say the least. Loosmark (talk) 16:22, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
"the secret evidence could have negatively effected the judging process. Which part of that you don't understand?" I understand it alright, I just don't see any factual basis for your suspicion. Also from a strictly logical point of view, it just doesn't make sense: If the non-public evidence is weak, it can hardly have had any negative effect on the interpretation of the public evidence. On the other hand, if it is strong, it wouldn't help Molobo get unlocked anyway (although it might help him create new socks). "So basicaly anybody can just promise something during a process not to raise too many objections and then simply not keep his promise?" Again, there's no use lamenting about "broken promises" (see Nixeagle's comment below) when it doesn't make a difference for the outcome of the procedure. --Thorsten1 (talk) 16:40, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
I understand it alright, I just don't see any factual basis for your suspicion. Also from a strictly logical point of view, it just doesn't make sense: If the non-public evidence is weak, it can hardly have had any negative effect on the interpretation of the public evidence. The point is not that what you think or feel but rather to make the whole decide decision making process as fair and as transparent as possible. Again, there's no use lamenting about "broken promises" (see Nixeagle's comment below) when it doesn't make a difference for the outcome of the procedure. And again what a crazy logic, even asuming that it indeed doesn't make a difference in this case it might very do so in the next one. Wikipedia should be a community were the building of mutual trust should always be encouraged, and a word given should count for something. Because things run better that way and simply because it's right. Loosmark (talk) 16:57, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
"The point is not that what you think or feel" Absolutely, this is not about "feeling" but logical deduction. I have told you why your objections are logically invalid. You, on the other hand, base your objection on the mere "feeling" that "that the secret evidence could have negatively effected the judging process", without providing any basis for this feeling. "to make the whole [...] decision making process as fair" - it was absolutely fair, as no non-public evidence has been used to justify the block - "and as transparent as possible". Sure. As transparent as possible and as effective as necessary. It was transparent and fair because all evidence that was used to justify the block was there for everyone to scrutinize and discuss. There's no reason to publish any material that wasn't used in the process, but could very well render the whole purpose of the procedure - stopping sockpuppetry - ineffective. "even asuming that it indeed doesn't make a difference in this case it might very do so in the next one." Then how about we discuss this in the next case, when the situation may or may not be different? I don't mind if you dismiss my points as "crazy logic". I hope you won't mind it either when I dismiss the last two sentences of your post as sententious drivel. --Thorsten1 (talk) 17:20, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
Absolutely, this is not about "feeling" but logical deduction. I have told you why your objections are logically invalid. ok let me rephrase it: not only i don't care about what do you feel or think about this case but also i don't care for your "logical deductions" about it, oki? Then how about we discuss this in the next case, when the situation may or may not be different? The rules should be universal for each and every case not that we invent them every time. I thought that's something that goes without saying but apparently not. Loosmark (talk) 17:46, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
"i don't care for your "logical deductions" about it, oki?" Point taken. You seem not to care about anyone's logic, though, strictly your personal feelings. Which are of no importance if you can't back them up by sound reasoning. "The rules should be universal for each and every case not that we invent them every time". First, Wikipedia is not a bureaucracy where each and every aspect is governed by universal rules. Second, you haven't yet shown why and how Molobo would have received a fairer treatment if no evidence had been witheld. The public evidence was deemed sufficient for a ban. If you want to have this decision overruled, you must show why it was wrong based on the public evidence - period. --Thorsten1 (talk) 18:40, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
Loosmark, please see Thatcher's comment here. He has access to the functionaries list, and his opinion confirms my statement that there is nothing "special" about the e-mail information other than a more detailed stylistic analysis, which, in my opinion, if made public would solely serve to allow Molobo et al to better evade future sockpuppetry checks. -- Avi (talk) 17:13, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
Loosmark, please see Thatcher's comment here. He has access to the functionaries list, and his opinion confirms my statement that there is nothing "special" about the e-mail information other than a more detailed stylistic analysis, which, in my opinion, if made public would solely serve to allow Molobo et al to better evade future sockpuppetry checks. Avi I understand what are you saying but then next question would be a very logical one: why did you publish any evidence at all? Going by your logic then the behavioral evidence which was published will help Molobo to become smarter and harder to catch. I'm against anybody having the power to decide which evidence should be published and which "kept for next time". Loosmark (talk) 18:00, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
This is an excellent point. If this is such a huge concern/problem, why is any evidence made available to the accused? Why not just hold the whole thing behind closed doors? And just to make sure they can't switch up their devious behavior at the last minute, why even make the charges public? Suspected sock puppeteers should just log in one morning, blissfully unaware, and find themselves banned for a year or two. And of course, no explanation of why would be necessary either as that might also help them in the future.radek (talk) 18:10, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
There's nothing wrong with a little irony, Radek, but may I remind you of WP:POINT... But seriously, in the present case, Molobo's offenders have so far failed to produce any plausible arguments why the non-disclosure of a small part of the evidence should have put Molobo at a disadvantage. As it stands, he would have been blocked anyway. There's no comparing this situation with the kafkaesque situation where no evidence at all is available. With parts of the evidence under wraps, he might be less tempted to evade his ban using sockpuppets. This is a perfectly legitimate purpose. --Thorsten1 (talk) 18:40, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]

(edit conflict)(<-) I published nothing, Loosmark :-). SPI is not a formal court case, but a place where evidence can be submitted and reasoned judgment can be applied. What was there is sufficient in and of itself. While there may be more d@mning evidence, it is unnecessary and, in my opinion, would only help sockpuppeters further evade detection. Don't forget, Lossmark, that people are innocent until judged guilty (or suspicious) at SPI. The default assumption is innocent. It is the duty of the complainant to provide the evidence to the admins for SPI and CU's for checkusers. We allow detailed analyses and private information to be passed to func-l, composed of ARBCOM, Checkusers, and Oversighters when it is felt that public release of the information would detrimentally effect the complainant, the defendant, or the project. It is incumbent on the recipients, in this case, me, to make public as much information as possible. The community, in theory, would trust the decider that certain analyses (or in rare cases, information like e-mails) should be left private.

In this case the evidence presented and gathered by Nix (edit histories) was enough to convince me that innocence was improbable in the extreme and that sockpuppetry was evident, combined with the checkuser information and the already public analysis/evidence supplied by Scurinæ. The fact that there is *more* indications of sockpuppetry is somewhat irrelevant, in my opinion. Were I to have Molobo's real name and address, should I submit that because it is MORE proof? I do not think so. Here, while there is no privacy issue to worry about, there is a WP:BEANS-type issue in that the more cunning sockpuppeters may use AS's ANALYSIS, NOT evidence, to actively stealth their relationships, and, personally, as one of our overworked CU's, I'd rather make their job harder instead of mine. That's another important point that was not made clear. AS did not supply more evidence in as much as s/he took available evidence and supplied a detailed analysis similar to what we do in complicated cases.

If you feel that there is an issue with the allowance for trusting ArbCom, the Checkusers, and the Oversighters to do their best for the project, which may include not saying EVERYTHING all of the time, by all means, please bring it up to the community. If you feel that in this particular case there was an inherent issue that renders my decision flawed, please, bring it up to ArbCom and WP:AUSC. I have always claimed to be human which includes the inevitable mistakes we all make. I think I have approached this case impartially, and with the evidence listed on the page, the histories collected by Nix (which can me manually retrieved thrugh user contributions), and the checkuser evidence I am privy to, that I have rendered the proper decision. The extra stylistic analysis of AS, while compelling, is just that, extra, and in my opinion as a checkuser, would serve more harm than good being released. However, in that last point, I am speaking solely my own opinion, and if AS, or ArbCom, wants that information released, I am not the one who will prevent it. -- Avi (talk) 18:21, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]

Closure vs. clerking

The promise to my understanding was made by User:AdjustShift. He did not close the case however. The case close was done by User:Avraham a checkuser. Now you guys are free to ask adjustshift about the promise, or ask avraham about the close. However I do not think avraham is bound by a promise made by adjustshift. The proper place for further discussion is, depending on the issue:

  1. User talk:Avraham - Queries regarding the case close.
  2. User talk:AdjustShift - Queries regarding his promise.

Thanks all. —— nixeagleemail me 16:27, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]

No, I actually thinkg that Avraham IS bound by a promise made by anyone else who was in charge of this case. This isn't two seperate cases, judged and decided by two seperate people. This is one whole case. And things which AdjustShift had said affected how people responded and hence how the case developed. We were told "to be patient" and that in due time "all would be revealed". So we quieted down and were patient, even though our comments were removed, and waited for all to be revealed. Well, here we are now and apparantly nothing will be revealed. The problem is not so much either with AdjustShift or Avraham individually - I think they did what they thought was best under the circumstances. The problem here was with the whole PROCESS, starting with even considering the "secret evidence" in the first place. But in any case, at the point where admins and clerks started edit warring with each other, the clase was cleary FUBARed and should've been dumped and restarted right then and there.radek (talk) 17:36, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
Radek, may I trouble you to see Thatcher's comment here? As Thatcher is also the lead non-Arb on the WP:AUSC, that should give you further confidence in the system, I would believe. -- Avi (talk) 17:41, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
Radek, you said that you "actually thinkg that Avraham IS bound by a promise made by anyone else who was in charge of this case". AdjustShift was, for all I can see, "ousted" from this case due to lack of experience. If he made any such promises as a result of this lack of expertise in handling sockpuppetmasters, I don't see how Avraham should have been bound by them. --Thorsten1 (talk) 18:40, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
If the case had been restarted and refiled then of course Avi would not have been bound by any promises made by AdjustShift. But the decision was made to continue with the case after it became a complete mess. And the things that had been already said had an effect on how it was conducted and influenced the final decision. As a result it's perfectly reasonable to hold the whole process accountable (which is what's important after all). And that includes Avi fulfilling promises made by Adjust shift.radek (talk) 18:59, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
Thorsten1, do you even know what you are talking about? I was never "ousted" from this case due to lack of experience. I said if the decision to block Molobo was based on the secret evidences, then the secret evidences will be published. But, Avi determined that the published evidences and CU result were enough to conclude that Gwinndeith is a sockpuppet of Molobo. Radeksz, this case is over. Please don't waste any time. AdjustShift (talk) 19:11, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]
Its a shame that we have some editors who are defending a sockpuppeteer. Shame on them! AdjustShift (talk) 19:12, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]

(edit conflict)Radek, if I would have known the detailed mess that would have followed I gladly would have closed and reopened this mess. However, I was asked to come in and, for all intents and purposes, take over this case, which I did. Adjustshift was not "ousted" from the case, any more than Mayllad or Synergy were. Noone did anything wrong here; sometimes very complicated cases need to be escalated. I personally have asked for review of my findings prior to any decisions at times as well. However, as an experience checkuser, I was brought in, and I did assume control of the case. All checkusers are ipso facto clerks and are authorized to act on their findings as well.

I believe the misconception here is that SPI cases are formalized legal processes. That is not correct. They are requests for an admin, or a checkuser if necessary, to sift through the evidence and render an opinion. For better or for worse, I was thought of as someone who has the experience to handle this kind of complex case, so I was asked to look into it after it had stagnated. Would it have been better if I would explicitly placed the whole mess in a collapsable box? in hindsight, yes, only to emphasize the fact that I was approaching this anew, as I do all cases in which I am asked to come in midstream. However, as was pointed out, that does not make be beholden to anyone other than myself, the policies and guidelines I am tasked to uphold, and specific requests of ArbCom, whom my technical abilities and judgment support. I apologize for any appearance of confusion; that was definitely not my intent, but at this point, I am uncertain what further you would like from this case, instead of from a revamping of the process. -- Avi (talk) 19:17, 1 June 2009 (UTC)[reply]

The discussion above is closed. Please do not modify it. Subsequent comments should be made on the appropriate discussion page. No further edits should be made to this discussion.
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