The seat covers northwest parts of Bristol, extending to the Severn Estuary.[3] It includes deprived areas such as Lawrence Weston and Southmead, as well as wealthier areas including Westbury-on-Trym and Stoke Bishop.[4]
History
Bristol North West has traditionally been a Conservative-Labour swing seat. Party positions altered completely in 2010 with the Liberal Democrat candidate, Paul Harrod achieving second place with a slightly larger one party swing, of 11.4%, than winning candidate Charlotte Leslie and saw a fresh Labour Party candidate suffer a large decrease in percentage of the Labour vote of 20.8%.[n 3] This changed in 2015 with the Conservatives winning the seat with an increased majority of 9.5%, and Labour moving back into second place. In the snap 2017 general election, the seat was lost to the Labour Party on a swing of 9%.[5]
The 2017 win was a surprise to the successful Labour candidate Darren Jones. He attributed his win to three factors: Corbyn and a good Labour manifesto, the youth vote, and Europe (the constituency had voted 61% remain).[6] Jones was re-elected as MP for the constituency in 2019 with an increased majority.
Boundaries
Map of current boundaries
1950–1955: The County Borough of Bristol wards of Avon, Durdham, Horfield, and Westbury-on-Trym.
1955–1983: The County Borough of Bristol wards of Avon, Henbury, Horfield, Southmead, and Westbury-on-Trym.
1983–1997: The City of Bristol wards of Avonmouth, Henbury, Horfield, Kingsweston, Lockleaze, Southmead, and Westbury-on-Trym, and the District of Northavon wards of Filton Charborough, Filton Conygre, Filton Northville, Stoke Gifford North, and Stoke Gifford South.
1997–2010: The City of Bristol wards of Avonmouth, Henbury, Horfield, Kingsweston, Lockleaze, and Southmead, and the South Gloucestershire wards of Filton Charborough, Filton Conygre, Filton Northville, Patchway Callicroft, Patchway Coniston, Patchway Stoke Lodge, Stoke Gifford North, and Stoke Gifford South.
2010–present: The City of Bristol wards of Avonmouth, Henbury, Henleaze, Horfield, Kingsweston, Lockleaze, Southmead, Stoke Bishop, and Westbury-on-Trym.
^This was one of the largest negative one-party swings for a Labour
candidate nationally in 2010.
^Labour to Conservative: for Others to Conservative the swing was 10.1%
^Others to Conservative; Labour to Conservative swing was 0.7%
^Conservative to Liberal/SDP. Labour to Conservative: 2.5%
^4.6% swing Others to Labour
^Others to Conservative swing: 5.9%
References
^"Bristol North West: Usual Resident Population, 2011". Neighbourhood Statistics. Office for National Statistics. Archived from the original on 4 March 2016. Retrieved 3 February 2015.
^"England Parliamentary electorates 2010-2018". Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved 23 March 2019.
^"Bristol North West - 2017 Result". BBC News. Retrieved 12 June 2017.
^Topping, Alexandra (30 June 2017). "Bristol North West: the bellwether seat where 'the Tories didn't turn up'". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077.
^"Election Maps - Ordnance Survey". www.ordnancesurvey.co.uk/election-maps/gb/. Retrieved 26 March 2019.
^"Parliamentary Constituencies in Bath and North East Somerset, Bristol, and South Gloucestershire" (PDF). Boundary Commission for England. 20 June 2001. Archived from the original (PDF) on 21 February 2010. Retrieved 1 October 2010.
^"The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 7 South West region.
^"New Seat Details - Bristol North West". www.electoralcalculus.co.uk. Retrieved 21 February 2024.
^"South West | Boundary Commission for England". boundarycommissionforengland.independent.gov.uk. Retrieved 20 June 2023.
^Laura Saunders [@LRSaunders23] (25 October 2023). "Honoured and excited to have recently been selected as the candidate for Bristol North West #SelectSaunders" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
^"GREEN PARTY ANNOUNCE GENERAL ELECTION CANDIDATES FOR BRISTOL". Bristol24/7. 20 November 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2024.
^"GENERAL ELECTION CANDIDATES". SDP. Retrieved 19 February 2024.
^"Bristol North West Parliamentary election: BBC News".
^Ashcroft, Esme (18 April 2017). "Bristol's four MPs will all be defending their seats in the general election". Bristol Post.
^"Green MEP to stand for Bristol West in general election".